Severe Weather Forecast




TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION 2016/001

A TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION has been issued at 16:15GMT on Sunday 7th February 2016

Valid from/until: 16:15 03:00GMT on Sunday 7th/Monday 8th February 2016 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Ireland:

Much of Ireland

Southern N Ireland

Very far S Scotland

IoM

England and Wales

THREATS

Isolated tornadoes; wind gusts to 60-70mph; isolated CG lightning

SYNOPSIS

A strong shortwave upper trough with an associated frontal system will move quickly eastwards this afternoon/evening. Marginal instability is progged by several models suggesting convection is possible, perhaps in the form of several lines/segments. Strong low-level shear suggests that strong wind gusts (60-70mph) is possible from stronger cores. In addition, isolated tornadoes are possible.

Pleease note that very strong winds (non-convective in nature) are expected across southern Ireland, and southern England and Wales on Monday, which are not part of this forecast. Please refer to national Met Office warnings for this.

Forecaster: RPK.

UK MAP

************PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO TORRO HERE************

Any unauthorised use, copying, modification or distribution of the material, or any attempt to alter or misuse content without prior consent is expressly forbidden.
TORRO will not accept liability for any personal injury, damage to property or any other eventuality that may result in connection with the issuing of such forecasts.
The user assumes the entire risk for usage of this data.

TORRO is under no obligation to produce, issue and update these forecasts.
Further information is available at http://www.torro.org.uk/onlinefx.php

© 2016, Tornado & Storm Research Organisation.