Severe Weather Forecast
TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION 2016/001
A TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION has been issued at 16:15GMT on Sunday 7th February 2016
Valid from/until: 16:15 – 03:00GMT on Sunday 7th/Monday 8th February 2016 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Ireland:
Much of Ireland
Southern N Ireland
Very far S Scotland
England and Wales
Isolated tornadoes; wind gusts to 60-70mph; isolated CG lightning
A strong shortwave upper trough with an associated frontal system will move quickly eastwards this afternoon/evening. Marginal instability is progged by several models suggesting convection is possible, perhaps in the form of several lines/segments. Strong low-level shear suggests that strong wind gusts (60-70mph) is possible from stronger cores. In addition, isolated tornadoes are possible.
Pleease note that very strong winds (non-convective in nature) are expected across southern Ireland, and southern England and Wales on Monday, which are not part of this forecast. Please refer to national Met Office warnings for this.
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